Clay, New York 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

026
FXUS61 KBGM 172327
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
727 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A warming trend will continue into the weekend along with an
increasing chance of rain and possibly a thunderstorm. A brief
cool down for Easter Sunday will be followed by another warming
trend and chance of rain showers early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...

720 PM Update....

Skies remain clear/sunny this evening, with mild temperatures
through sunset. Overnight lows will be chilly in the upper 20s
to mid-30s by daybreak Friday. Bumped up the south winds
slightly on Friday and increased high temperatures 1-2 degrees
based on the latest data and expected stronger warm air
advection. A few light rain showers may race across CNY Friday
afternoon, otherwise it will be partly sunny much of the day. No
significant changes were made to the forecast at this time.

Previous Discussion Below

The surface high moves overhead tonight and with clear skies
initially and calm winds, radiational cooling will drop
temperatures quickly after sunset. Continued to go lower than
NBM for low temps tonight. Mid and upper level clouds push in
during the early morning hours Friday ahead of an approaching
warm front. At this time, the front has trended further north
and PoPs have been cut back for Friday. North of the NYS Thruway
corridor will have the best chance for any measurable rainfall
and dry conditions are expected from the at least the Southern
Tier and south through NE PA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Trends continue to keep the warm front well north of the region
Friday. The best chance for any showers would be north of the
NY Thruway corridor, but even there it will be a relatively low
chance. Highs trend warmer into the mid 60s in the higher
terrain to around 70 degrees in the Twin Tiers/Upper Susquehanna
Valley.

By late in the night/early Saturday morning a more concentrated
batch of showers and possibly a thunderstorm could enter the
Finger Lakes Region ahead of an approaching cold front.
Temperatures Friday night will likely remain quite mild and hold
nearly steady in the mid 50s to lower 60s.

On Saturday, the approaching upper trough digs to the SW and
stays positively tilted as it runs into a strong ridge over the
Southeast. As a result, the cold front moving through our region
will slow down or become nearly stationary, with a series of
shortwaves riding along this boundary. This will set the stage
for multiple batches of showers and possibly a few thunderstorms
during the day on Saturday, gradually shifting south and eastward
the second half of the day. With the region firmly in the warm
sector, temperatures will surge into the upper 60s to upper 70s.

Drier air moves in Saturday night behind the departing cold
front, which will allow for any remaining rain showers to
gradually end. This will also allow cooler air to filter in,
with lows in Central NY expected to be in the mid 30s to mid 40s.
Lows will be a bit milder in the mid 40s to lower 50s across
much of Northeast PA with lingering moisture and clouds in the
vicinity of the cold front.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Upper level ridging and surface high pressure moves in on
Easter Sunday, which will bring a return to dry weather. Skies
will be partly to mostly sunny with cooler max temps in the
50-60F range. By Sunday night, moisture ahead of an approaching
warm front may result in a few isolated showers, but the
majority of the area will likely remain dry with ridging still
predominantly in place. Lows are expected to be in the mid 30s
to mid 40s.

On Monday, an upper level low will be tracking across the
western Great Lakes into southern Canada, which will drag a
frontal boundary through the region. As a result, there will be
a chance for some scattered rain showers, especially later Monday
afternoon and night. Highs on Monday are expected to be in the
mid 50s to lower 60s, with mainly 40s for lows Monday night.

The associated cold front will push east of the area on Tuesday,
which will bring in drier air and breezy conditions. High
pressure looks to be in control on Wednesday. Temperatures will
be seasonable on Tuesday (highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s),
with warmer air moving in through midweek with highs in the mid
60s to lower 70s Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

725 PM Update

Surface high pressure will pass over the region this evening,
providing mostly clear skies and widespread VFR conditions.
VFR conditions are forecast to persist through the next 24 hours
with just some sct to bkn mid and high level clouds Friday
afternoon and evening.

Winds will diminish this evening under 10 kts, with clear skies
gradually giving way to increasing high cloudiness from west to
east overnight.

Clouds will continue to thicken on Friday, with a gusty south-
wind developing. There could be a few showers by afternoon,
mainly along and north of the NYS Thruway corridor.

Outlook...

Saturday...Showers likely with isolated thunderstorms and
associated restrictions.

Sunday...Predominantly VFR.

Monday...Chance of showers and possible restrictions.

Tuesday...Improving conditions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...MPK/MRSCTP
NEAR TERM...MJM/MRSCTP
SHORT TERM...BJG/MRSCTP
LONG TERM...BJG/MRSCTP
AVIATION...MJM/CJECTP